Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000935 0.001073 0.001211 0.001360 0.001515 0.001672 0.001841
2026-02-01 0.000705 0.000901 0.001105 0.001331 0.001571 0.001819 0.002091
2026-02-08 0.000545 0.000783 0.001039 0.001330 0.001647 0.001977 0.002346
2026-02-15 0.000423 0.000692 0.000993 0.001342 0.001729 0.002138 0.002598
2026-02-22 0.000331 0.000624 0.000963 0.001366 0.001819 0.002303 0.002851
2026-03-01 0.000237 0.000539 0.000907 0.001355 0.001866 0.002417 0.003046
2026-03-08 0.000150 0.000450 0.000837 0.001321 0.001882 0.002494 0.003198
2026-03-15 0.000098 0.000399 0.000808 0.001332 0.001946 0.002620 0.003400
2026-03-22 0.000052 0.000341 0.000766 0.001323 0.001984 0.002716 0.003566
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000309 0.000753 0.001346 0.002057 0.002848 0.003771
2026-04-05 0.000004 0.000263 0.000717 0.001339 0.002093 0.002937 0.003926
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000209 0.000665 0.001308 0.002098 0.002989 0.004038
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000133 0.000578 0.001244 0.002081 0.003035 0.004167
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000083 0.000522 0.001218 0.002109 0.003134 0.004356
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000052 0.000489 0.001220 0.002169 0.003271 0.004589
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000029 0.000465 0.001232 0.002243 0.003421 0.004837
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000015 0.000451 0.001256 0.002329 0.003586 0.005100
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000001 0.000414 0.001246 0.002371 0.003698 0.005302
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000366 0.001214 0.002383 0.003773 0.005461
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000347 0.001224 0.002448 0.003909 0.005688
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000318 0.001216 0.002487 0.004014 0.005878
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000309 0.001238 0.002565 0.004164 0.006119
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000283 0.001231 0.002604 0.004266 0.006303